Wall Street Is Starting to Like Intel Stock Again


  • Intel stock isn’t well-liked by Wall Street analysts following years of struggles.

  • The stock’s surge last year and momentum in some of its businesses have led to some analyst upgrades for Intel.

  • Strong demand for server CPUs and the long-term potential of the foundry business are at the center of the newfound analyst optimism.

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Most Wall Street analysts who cover Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) aren’t all that optimistic about the stock, and it’s not hard to see why. Intel has been struggling against multiple challenges for years. In manufacturing, delays and missteps contributed to TSMC pulling ahead and giving Intel’s competitors a manufacturing advantage. In the PC and server CPU business, AMD has been consistently gaining market share.

Investors became much more optimistic about Intel over the past year. High-profile deals with the U.S. government and Nvidia injected Intel with capital, and rumors point to Apple potentially using Intel Foundry for some of its chips. Wall Street is finally starting to catch up. Earlier this week, an analyst at KeyBanc upgraded the stock to “buy” and increased his price target to $60. On Thursday, another analyst jumped on the bandwagon.

The Intel logo on a cube in front of a building.
Image source: Intel.

Citigroup analyst Atif Malik dropped his “sell” rating on Intel stock by upgrading it to “hold.” Malik also set a $50 price target, which is slightly above the current stock price.

Malik isn’t as optimistic about Intel’s prospects compared to the KeyBanc analyst, but he sees a significant opportunity for the company to win business for its foundry segment. There are three components to Malik’s overall thesis. First, Intel should benefit from a shortage of advanced packaging capacity at TSMC. Second, the U.S. government’s investment creates an incentive for companies to consider Intel for manufacturing. And third, companies designing custom AI chips unable to secure manufacturing capacity at TSMC will opt for Intel instead.

The Intel 18A process is in production, with Intel’s own Panther Lake chips set to debut in laptops shipping later this month. The KeyBanc analyst believes that Intel has reached yields of around 60% for Intel 18A, and the company has noted that yields are now improving at industry-standard rates. This points to a successful process node that should be compelling for chip designers struggling to secure manufacturing capacity.

Specifically, Malik expects AI ASICs, which are specialized chips designed at the hardware level for AI workloads, to find their way to Intel Foundry. Many companies, including Alphabet, Amazon, and Microsoft, design their own custom AI chips. As AI finds more use cases, demand for AI inference capacity could drive significant AI chip business to Intel Foundry.



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